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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The big concern for Florida right now, is that Miami-Dade is not turning out in large numbers, for early voting.  Hopefully that will change on Tuesday.  I would never pin my hopes on Florida, though.  I'm sure they'll find new and interesting ways to eff everything up.[/quote]

Largest counties in FLA - first # is the number of early votes so far and second number is total registered voters. 
(64-34 D) Miami-Dade: 808,524 out of 980,204 total (82.5% of 2016 turnout)
(66.5-31.5 D) Broward: 665,329 out of 1,237,005 (80.0% of 2016 turnout)
(56.5-41 D) Palm Beach: 504,815 of 998,969 (76.2% of 2016 turnout) 
(51.5-44.5 D) Hillsborough: 479,994 of 910,069 (80.3% of 2016 turnout)
(60-35.5 D) Orange: 418,526 of 836,904 (76.6% of 2016 turnout)
(48.5-47.5 R) Pinellas: 370,895 of 694,843 (75.3% of 2016 turnout)
(49-47.5 R) Duval: 316,733 of 645,938 (72.3% of 2016 turnout) 
(58.5-38.5 R) Lee: 284,039 of 475,573 (87.0% of 2016 turnout)
(55.5-41.5 R) Polk: 200,195 of 458,027 (70.4% of 2016 turnout) 
(58-38 R) Brevard: 240,129 of 441,585 (76.3% of 2016 turnout)

The lowest turnout counties are the rural counties, but it's not like Miami-Dade will be a ghost town on Election Day. If turnout is over 1.1M, even 1.05M, that will be a huge help as that is an additional +15-30k gap for Biden [/quote]

Where is this data from?  I haven't seen this before.  [/quote]

Answering my own question, I guess.

https://countyballotfiles.floridados.gov/VoteByMailEarlyVotingReports/PublicStats

If you look at Miami-Dade, for instance, if you go by party ID alone (excluding the 'other' and unaffiliated), the D advantage is only 100K or so.  Overall, it's only 200k or so.  [/quote]

Trump only won Florida last time by 112,911 votes. It is going to be close again this time, too, regardless of who wins.

This is what I keep reminding myself while trying not to panic over what looks like slightly underwhelming numbers to me. I'd still rather be Biden than Trump, looking at these figures.[/quote]

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