Reply to Ward 2/3 High School proposal in the NW Current

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Wilson High's current capacity:  1600 students.
Projected enrollment in FY14-15:  1708 students.

Deal MS projected enrollment in FY14-15:  1310 (about 437 per grade)
Hardy MS projected enrollment in FY14-15:  400 (about 133 per grade)

If all Deal and Hardy MS students attend Wilson, Wilson enrollment ((437 + 133)*4) will be 2,280 students.  680 students over its capacity.

Of course, some of Deal and Hardy students may choose other options (SWW, etc.).  But this does not include Wilson boundaries outside of its feeder pattern, and it does not take into account that enrollment at Deal and Hardy's feeders have been rising as well.[/quote]

It's great to see someone actually posting numbers up to address the crowding question in a serious way and not just take it as given. Thank you for that.

Among parents I know who are in the cluster, Deal has a better reputation than Wilson. There are very few who say that they don't consider Deal a good option, but there are many who seem to be considering private or application-only or suburbs for HS. Their logic is that HS is too high-stakes to risk it, and after many years of free public education they can stomach 4 years of private tuition or a move to MoCo or Arlington. The common thing I hear among those who would not go private is "we're going to apply to walls and if it doesn't work then we move out of the district".

This is not me saying this, BTW - just what I hear.

I don't have hard data, probably Wilson has some estimates, but I am just saying that simply adding Deal and Hardy together gives a very unrealistic picture of who is likely to attend Wilson.

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