Reply to Gov. Youngkin issues statement after DOJ files lawsuit over noncitizen voting in Va.

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]DOJ filed their brief and it tears Youngkin’s arguments apart.

But what was amazing to me was apparently the PW county election office looked into the voting history of 200 or so names they got. 75% had never tried to vote (so they didn’t investigate further) and of the other 25% every single one of them was eligible to vote. [/quote]

Nuts.  And these are the same people who would be running the mass deportation.  They can’t even put together a list of 1600 illegal immigrants without including hundreds of US citizens.  But sure, they’ll round up ten million illegals without mistakenly picking up any citizens.[/quote]

The state level data is not as good as what the federal government has. Anytime you clean voter rolls the accuracy rate is never going to be 100%. The real question is how many of the people removed were citizens vs non-citizens. We need more granular data to determine whether the process is accurate enough or not. For example, let’s assume that the accuracy rate for identifying citizens is 99.9% and the accuracy rate for Identifying non-citizens is 50%. We will also assume that 99.9% of registered voters are citizens and 0.1% are non-citizens. In this scenario, screening one million registered voters will identify 1,499 non-citizen voters. 500 (1,000 * 0.5) of which are actually non-citizens and 999 (999k * 0.001) that are incorrectly identified as non-citizens. Even though the process is 99.9% accurate at identifying actual US citizens, approximately 67% of the people on the list will be citizens due to the much larger population size.  The actual false positive and false negative rates number are very important to determine whether this process was sloppy or conducted properly. [/quote]

IMO, the process needs to be calibrated so that the number of citizens incorrectly  identified as non citizens is lower than the number of non-citizens correctly identified. So any process that is removing more people registered illegally than not would be acceptable. We don’t have enough data on this voter roll purge in particular to determine the percentage that are citizens. However, the timing of this voter roll purge was too close to Election Day and Youngkin should have done this a year ago so people have plenty of time to reregister if they are incorrectly removed. [/quote]

Again— 100% of the voters in PW county who were purged were wrongly purged.

There was another story about how someone moved and it took more than 14 days for her mail to get to her so she was purged. Just disgraceful. [/quote]

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