Reply to MCPS High School Magnet Decisions

Forum Index » Montgomery County Public Schools (MCPS)

Reply to "MCPS High School Magnet Decisions "

Subject:

Emoticons





More smilies

Text Color: Font: Close Marks

[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Sorry, that's 5 invited to Blair SMCS. Not sure about RMIB.[/quote]

That is an unusually small number.  I would suspect there are a lot more, but maybe kids are just not talking about it.[/quote]
Remember that this year is the first year of MS magnet lottery graduates. Blair magnet has about 10% acceptance rate. 6 or 7 Blair SMCS acceptances from Takoma (not everyone would apply) may be all you can see.[/quote]

I doubt it. Many of the magnet kids will have got in. Maybe less than previous years but it will certainly be in double digits. Someone somewhere else said maybe about 20. I think that’s likely.[/quote]
That's not how statistics work :)[/quote]

Actually it is exactly how stats work. Students from TPMS are always more likely to get in than from other schools (usually about a third get in). Partly because they have had three years of exceptional advanced teaching in STEM, partly because they already have experience commuting further than their home school and making new friends and are therefore more likely to both apply and accept than others also  because of strong interest in STEM since 5th grade and their work ethic and motivation to join a magnet. This is the first year that some (not all) kids have not been as high achievers [i]as in the past[/i] - so that factor may reduce the numbers that got in, but the other factors remain.[/quote]
Have you heard of something called 'conditional probability'? There are about 1000 applicants. All of these applicants have interest in STEM. That's why they applied. The fact that TPMS students won a lottery 3 years ago don't make them more superior candidates. [/quote]

Did you read what I wrote? Or just ignore it? There are other reasons as I stated. And I’m VERY confident that I will be proved correct (that the proportion of kids that got in this year is more than 20). Part of that  is the track record of TKPK kids who got into the middle school magnet with lower scores than average (because of the set aside) but were still strong enough by the end of the three years to be accepted at Blair.

I’d put money on it if we weren’t anonymous.[/quote]

I’m the PP above. Now that we know in excess of 30 kids from TPMS were accepted to Blair this year, I’m back to claim my winnings! I didn’t have even a tiny doubt that I wouldn’t be proved correct. [/quote]

Options

	Disable HTML in this message
	Disable BB Code in this message
	Disable smilies in this message

Review message

Search Recent Topics Hottest Topics