Reply to Fall 2022 Over/Under-Enrollment at FCPS High Schools

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]September 2022 FCPS HS enrollments vs. current or planned permanent capacity:

[b]Severely Over-Crowded[/b]:

Centreville 133.1%
Chantilly 129.8%
[b]McLean 122.1%[/b]

[b]Modestly Over-Crowded to Modestly Under-Enrolled[/b]:

West Springfield 105.8%
Woodson 105.6%
Edison 105.2%
Marshall 102.6%
Oakton 102.1%
Robinson 99.9%
Fairfax 97.6%
Annandale 96.4%
Hayfield 96.0%
Westfield 93.8%
Herndon 93.6%
Justice 93.3%
Lake Braddock 92.7%
South Lakes 92.5%
West Potomac 90.8%
South County 90.3%

[b]Significantly Under-Enrolled[/b]:
Langley 89.2%
Madison 85.1%
Falls Church 84.1%
TJ 82.5%
Mount Vernon 79.6%
Lewis 78.8%

At some point, FCPS will announce expansion plans for Centreville as part of its upcoming renovation.  Chantilly and McLean remain overcrowded with either no solution offered (Chantilly/Stella Pekarsky) or a weak solution put in place that isn't adequately addressing the problem (McLean/Tholen).  At the other end of the enrollment spectrum, Mount Vernon remains over 20% under-capacity, yet FCPS just expanded nearby West Potomac to 3000 seats, and Lewis has under 1700 students this fall while West Springfield now has over 2500 kids.  [/quote]

McLean HS needs not to [b]accept[/b] students who live in Falls Church.  That will solve the overcrowding problem.[/quote]

It's not like you apply.  There are boundaries.  Right now FCPS has a high school for roughly every 46,000 residents.  McLean has about 50,000 residents, which isn't enough to support two FCPS high schools.  So Langley has all of Great Falls, and parts of McLean, Vienna, Reston and Herndon.  McLean now has parts of McLean and Falls Church.

However, McLean has 2433 kids this fall and Falls Church has 2103.  FCPS being FCPS, they are expanding Falls Church to 2500 seats and leaving McLean with 1993.  Since Marshall and McLean are going to be getting more kids from Tysons, there's going to be a push to move the part of Timber Lane (currently a McLean/Falls Church split feeder) that feeds into McLean to Falls Church once Falls Church's renovation is finished.  It will reduce the diversity at McLean.  Parents at McLean have pleaded for a permanent addition for years and have been ignored.  So now it's going to be FCPS left to explain why they are either leaving McLean overcrowded or reducing its diversity.

[/quote]

This does seen like a good boundary solution. We are zoned for FCHS and loved it - and it is going to be beautiful once the renovation is complete. The McLean schools are so overcrowded for years, with no renovation in sight, that [b]I am surprised it has not had an effect on the real estate market there.[/b] 
[/quote]

[b]It's the location for commutes.[/b]   Lots depends on where each of a couple works.  If you have to get out of a current rental or whatever the reason...  Some worse SFH houses for Chesterbrooke went under contract much quicker than stuff for KG.  Similar price points.   [/quote]

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