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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]

Silver gives Biden an 86 in 100 chance in Pennsylvania as of 10 minutes ago.[/quote]

RCPs average polling for Biden in PA is down 3.8% after tralfagar and insider advantage (two republican pollsters) have Biden ties and losing, respectively, in polls released over the last day. I take that with a terrifying grain of salt.

Trump could win FL. Republicans showed up to match dem early vote surge.

And WI is a nightmare waiting to happen - 400k ballots mailed, post office announcing that ballots mailed TODAY won’t arrive in time, and the BS kavanaugh hearing.

It’s close in several states and it could be a ****ing shitshow. Or it could be a landslide for Biden. We know nothing after the 2016 polls, and the depths of corruption and suppression the GOP is capable of.[/quote]

Does RCP weight polls based on quality? [/quote]
No. They also use fewer sources, so one outlier has a bigger impact.[/quote]

RCP includes right-wing partisan "broken clock" polls like Trafalgar, Susquehanna and Rasmussen but conveniently excludes certain polls that have had good results for Biden like Civiqs. Even on 538 Biden's lead is too small for comfort (largely thanks to these same pollsters), but he is still very likely to win PA.  [/quote]

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