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Reply to "Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous] Silver gives Biden an 86 in 100 chance in Pennsylvania as of 10 minutes ago.[/quote] RCPs average polling for Biden in PA is down 3.8% after tralfagar and insider advantage (two republican pollsters) have Biden ties and losing, respectively, in polls released over the last day. I take that with a terrifying grain of salt. Trump could win FL. Republicans showed up to match dem early vote surge. And WI is a nightmare waiting to happen - 400k ballots mailed, post office announcing that ballots mailed TODAY won’t arrive in time, and the BS kavanaugh hearing. It’s close in several states and it could be a ****ing shitshow. Or it could be a landslide for Biden. We know nothing after the 2016 polls, and the depths of corruption and suppression the GOP is capable of.[/quote] Does RCP weight polls based on quality? [/quote] No. They also use fewer sources, so one outlier has a bigger impact.[/quote]
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