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Reply to "Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]For everyone who says the polls were soo00 wrong in 2016: So, this is a poll from this time in the election in Michigan, after Comey blindsided Clinton. https://www.freep.com/story/news/politics/2016/11/04/free-press-poll-donald-trump-gains-hillary-clinton-race-michigan-tightens/93287658/ Clinton's lead had dropped to 4 points, with 12 percent undercided. It was within the margin of error, and Trump won Michigan by about 10,000 votes. Here's a poll from today. https://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/10/27/group-voters-powering-joe-biden-lead-over-trump-michigan/6050358002/ with Biden up 8 points, with 7 points undecided.[/quote] I can’t see the poll because it’s behind a paywall. I think you have to feel pretty good about any state where Biden is over 50%. Plus there’s far fewer undecideds. Last time the “haters vote” (undecideds who didn’t like either Clinton or Trump) broke for Trump, and this time there are fewer of them and they’re breaking for Biden. I don’t know. I’m cautiously optimistic. Maybe that’s foolish of me. I think Biden will come away with a pretty convincing EC victory and it’s not going to hinge on just one close state a la Bush/Gore in Florida. [/quote] Democrat Joe Biden's lead in Michigan is persisting with a week until the Nov. 3 election and heavy support from female voters in the state, according to the latest Detroit News and WDIV-TV poll released Tuesday. Overall, Biden is ahead 49.3% to 41.6% over President Donald Trump in the survey of 600 likely voters conducted by the Lansing-based Glengariff Group during the three days following Thursday's final debate in Nashville. It is about an 8 percentage point lead. The Oct. 23-25 poll, which had a margin of error of 4 percentage points, found the former vice president to have a striking 24.5-point lead among female voters. [/quote]
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