Reply to Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote]We shall see. I’m going in believing Biden will win Texas. I don’t think they’re polling first time and unlikely voters in an election with significantly higher turnout than usual.[/quote]

I like your optimism. 10% undecided is big. And the lead is about the margin of error.

In any case, this is a nightmare for the GOP. That Trump is under 50% in TX spells their doom. [/quote]

There are some pretty significant caveats in this poll, a lot of it having to do with Latino voters in the state being difficult to poll.  According to this, Trump is doing 14 points better with them, than Hillary did in 2016.  They also got House races pretty consistently wrong the last time around (towards R), so as with the PP, I'm going to hold on to the hope that Biden will win Texas in a close one.[/quote]
+1 and here are the specifics on what NYT/Siena got wrong and by how much in 2018.
[img]https://pbs.twimg.com/media/ElRkxSsXEAIsYCx?format=jpg&name=large[/img][/quote]

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