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Reply to "UK, Italy, France quality decline, now poorer than all 50 states "
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I'm waiting for 2008 Nobel Prize winner Paul Krugman™ to pop up and tell us how wrong we all still are and promote his substack newsletter. [/quote] Do posters who quote people who use data and facts that you can't intelligently respond to intimidate you? Since you asked am summarizing one of his recent posts here. [quote] #PaulKrugman Is Europe in Economic Decline? Interrogating the conventional wisdom that Europe is lagging America Does Europe have a lower standard of living than the U.S? When comparing the economic performance of various countries, economists often begin with measures of gross domestic product (GDP) per capita at purchasing power parity. GDP is the total value of goods and services produced in a country, and GDP per capita is a relevant measure of the country’s overall standard of living. “Purchasing power parity” (PPP) corrects for differences in national price levels, which is especially important because fluctuations in exchange rates between currencies, such as the relative values of the dollar and the euro, can cause temporary fluctuations in measured GDP that have nothing to do with underlying economic performance. Here is PPP GDP per capita in the three big European Union economies as a percentage of the United States over the past 25 years: Chart 1 European economies do produce less per person than the U.S. does. Indeed, as many observers have pointed out, France and Italy have GDP per capita comparable to poor U.S. states like Alabama: Chart 2 But let’s step back for a moment and ask: how reasonable is it to compare the economic performance of France, and Europe in general, with the poorest states in America? Let’s start with impressions: France definitely doesn’t look or feel as poor as Alabama or Mississippi. Granted, subjective impressions are no substitute for hard data. But the “walking around test” isn’t worthless, either. If the look and feel of an economy don’t match up with the story told by standard numbers, that’s at least a gut check, a reason to look for the sources of the dissonance. More substantively, nonmonetary comparisons between Europe and the United States are unlike the usual comparisons when one stacks poor nations against a richer country. Consider the following items: · Globally, rich nations normally have higher life expectancy than poor nations. But life expectancy in France is 4.7 years higher than in the United States — and 9 years higher than in Alabama · The overall US literacy rate is well below rates in other wealthy nations, and far below levels in Europe · While the US and China dominate most information technology industries, with Europe a distant third — more on that later — access to and use of IT are basically comparable in the US and Europe Understand that I’m not saying that the GDP numbers are wrong. What I am saying, however, is that the story “Europe is poor” is misleading. A clearly important issue that is not captured by GDP per capita comparisons is income inequality, which is much higher in the US than in Europe. It is arithmetically inescapable that the high share of US income going to the top 1 percent and the top 10 percent renders most Americans worse off than the overall high level of GDP per capita would indicate. However, quantifying this effect is, to be frank, a statistical can of worms, especially because some important goods and services — notably health care — are mainly government-provided in Europe while a significant share is privately-provided in the United States. My colleagues at the Stone Center on Socio-Economic Inequality, who are experts on the topic of income inequality, are not convinced by some widely cited analyses of this issue. So for now, I will simply assert that the role of income inequality in underestimating the performance of Europe versus the US is an important component, but one to which I can’t put exact numbers. [/quote][/quote] Am pretty sure Paul Krugman is posting here. Who else would keep proclaiming he's a Nobel Prize winner and self promoting a blog? [/quote]
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