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Reply to "Republicans are increasingly anxious about a midterms wipeout"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Republicans should be anxious. In the last election, there were 69 Republican House members that won their seats with less than a 10 percent margin. Every single one of those seats will be an easy pickup for Democrats in 26. There were also 11 Republican Senators that won with less than a 10 percent margin. Democrats have a bad senate map in 26 but retaking the senate is very possible now. Republican politicians are going to have to choose soon - fealty to Trump and Musk or their jobs.[/quote] It doesn't matter if they choose fealty or not. The House was always going to be lost in the midterms with a lame duck President. But now, as you described the losses will be catastrophic. The GOP has near-zero percent chance of retaining the House.[/quote] Agree. The question is just how catastrophic the losses are. That having been said, I’m not sure a lot of the core groups that switched to Trump are going to be impacted by the devastation of the tariffs. If there is a Great Depression, yes. But take the young Gen Z men who flocked to Trump. They don’t have stock or even any hope of stock so the stock market doesn’t bother them. They don’t have any belief they’ll ever have a house, so interest rates don’t bother them. In fact they might be happy that government employees, UMC folks, etc. are suffering as they perceive those groups as causing their suffering. [b]These tariffs were targeted to and disproportionately hit Biden voters[/b]. I don’t know how that impacts the midterms. [/quote] Trump voters will be harder hit unless they do another 9 figure bailout of the Ag sector like in 2018.[/quote] Which they will, of course. [/quote]
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