Reply to 2022 Senate Map

Forum Index » Political Discussion

Reply to "2022 Senate Map"

Subject:

Emoticons





More smilies

Text Color: Font: Close Marks

[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][twitter]https://mobile.twitter.com/Victorshi2020/status/1597416239017889792[/twitter][/quote]
How do they know it’s all Dems?[/quote]
You can actually tell because voter files who show who voted early also have age/party affiliation/race/address and other things you can model votes from for those voters. Additionally, for early voting over the weekend the vast majority of red counties didn’t offer it at all. And generally, higher turnout has historically been better for Democrats.[/quote]

WSJ today:
“Mr. Walker will need to maintain turnout, even if he gets support from those who didn’t vote for a Senate candidate or makes gains with Libertarians. Precincts that went Republican in the race of governor generally had higher turnout rates among registered voters, averaging 61% voter turnout compared with 52% turnout among Democratic precincts.”
Turnout for runoffs in Georgia tends to be lower than for general elections, and general-election results don’t always predict how a candidate will perform in the runoff election. Counties that saw a steeper drop-off in turnout between November 2020 and January 2021 also saw worse turnout in this year’s midterms—though those counties where Warnock netted more votes broadly saw less of a drop-off from the general and runoff elections last cycle.

In Georgia’s Runoff Election, Midterm Turnout and Blank Ballots Might Reveal Who Has the Edge
November voting data offer clues to where Warnock and Walker stand to gain in Senate race
https://www.wsj.com/articles/in-georgias-runoff-election-midterm-turnout-andblankballots-might-reveal-who-has-the-edge-11670092721[/quote]

Options

	Disable HTML in this message
	Disable BB Code in this message
	Disable smilies in this message

Review message

Search Recent Topics Hottest Topics