Reply to Another choice school in N Arlington?

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Reply to "Another choice school in N Arlington?"

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[quote=Anonymous]And again, just to be clear, if you look at the numbers on the APS spreadsheets, you will need 400-500 kids to voluntarily leave the ASF/Key and Long Branch schools to attend a choice school at Reed in Westover in order to meaningfully relieve projected overcrowding in the Rosslyn-Ballston corridor. The numbers are really clear if you look at the APS utilization statistics. I have no doubt that some kids will do that, but the question is will enough kids do that?  Because if not, then you have the same overcrowded neighborhood school building in Clarendon, just with a new program inside. The enrollment spreadsheet is at the link below, and the column to look at is the 2020/21 numbers because that is the year they want to bring Reed on-line. (Note: These numbers don't seem to have been updated to reflect the new S. Arlington ES.)

I think there are too many people on this thread talking about anecdotal evidence and not looking hard enough at the data APS is working from when making these decisions. My question for those of you in the zones above though is whether you really think that many people will leave. Because reopening Reed as a choice school is being done by the School Board specifically to target overcrowding in the NE section of Arlington and the success of this plan depends on NE families moving.  Reed is not being opened as a choice school because the School Board feels warm and fuzzy about expanding choice programs-- they are screwed because there is no more land in NE Arlington and Reed happens to be available.

http://www.apsva.us/cms/lib2/VA01000586/Centricity/Domain/11/Capacity_Utilization_FallProjections16-25_Final_Revised_11172015.pdf

Also, look at Slide 8 in the CIP deck-- the NE 571 and NW 349 numbers are what the School Board is focused on. They think the S. Arlington numbers are taken care of by the new ES, based on the projected surplus in SE.  I have heard discussion that the new choice school will likely give preference to North Arlington because of the capacity crisis there-- so don't bank on it helping the S. Arlington situation:

http://www.apsva.us/cms/lib2/VA01000586/Centricity/Domain/110/G-2%20Supt%20Proposed%20CIP%20PPT%20Presentation.pdf

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