Reply to How has Hardy drawn inbound families?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]SW and EOTP aren't the crunch.  There are 1248 kids at Deal and 371 at Hardy.  Assuming equal grade sizes, that alone puts 540 potential kids into Wilson next year.  Wilson's capacity is only 1431.  Their current enrollment is 1696.  They can't handle 2160.

Some Hardy and Deal kids will go to private schools, charters, SWW/Banneker/Ellington, or move out of the district.  But some kids who could have gone to Hardy or Deal but picked charters will go to Wilson, and some new families with high school-aged kids will move to upper NW.  There's not enough capacity at Wilson and taking out SW and Adams doesn't come close to solving it.

If Francis-Stevens became another HS fed by Adams and Hardy with SW having a right to attend, some very cool specialized programs (maybe foreign service, with the state department and the universities so close by, though this may require a change to plans for Roosevelt? Take museum studies out of Ellington and make a museum-focused HS? public health?) I could see it working, and some folks who think Wilson is too big for their kids might actually prefer it.  But where would the PK-8 kids go?[/quote]

Not sure of the numbers for Deal, but Principal Pride at Hardy has said that only about half of this year's Hardy 8th graders will be going on to Wilson - the rest will be going private or to magnets (Walls, Ellington, Banneker, and others.   This is noteworthy for two reasons - first, it shows how well high-achieving kids do at Hardy, and second, it shows how little Hardy contributes to Wilson overcrowding.

Um, I think you're forgetting that there will be a senior class graduating, so that 1696 number will not include them--there won't be five grade levels there next year!

If you estimate that around 430 kids graduate, that would leave around 1270 in 10th, 11th, and 12th grades.  Then add the approx. 540 freshman and you have an approximate enrollment of 1820, or around 120 more than this year.

That's if everyone from Deal and Hardy go to Wilson instead of private or charter, and if everyone at Wilson now stays at Wilson next year, AND if no other kids who don't go to Deal or Hardy but are IB for Wilson decide to go to Wilson (as in, leave their private or charter middle school for free high school).

Number would go up, but likely not as high as 2160.

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