Reply to Move TSP to G for a bit?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Tuesday at 8pm is either going to be the end of the war or the beginning of the depression. That is no exaggeration.

If Iran doesn't surrender, they will destroy the refineries of Qatar. Trump has made it clear they won't get a second chance to strike back. 40% of the world's raw materials and energy, including fertilizer gone.

In such a situation sitting in anything but cash seems like idiocy.[/quote]

Op here. Yep. Hence why I started this thread. I left equities a month ago knowing this was no ordinary time. I got out of I fund and into G fund. If I was wrong oh nooo I miss a month of stock gains and most likely jump back in to I fund. If I am right about worldwide oil issues and extended turmoil and scary sht then stocks will most likely tumble super hard and that’s what I was scared of. I guess we will see tomorrow what commander in chief chooses for the world.

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Jumped to G fund today. Whatever happens happens. If I lose a little I still have plenty of time until retirement.  [/quote]

Op here. Nice move. Makes sense.[/quote]

How much is a little?  You are talking about potentially a huge portion of your net worth to move.  If you miss out on a $200k gain over the next few months (10% on a 2 million portfolio), that's a potentially enormous hit to your future retirement when looking at compounding. [/quote]

Well, for one, it’s been a month since I moved it from I to G. My entire goal was to preserve capital and buy back in to C or I later. I am still ahead in that goal.

For months, I’ve been reading news of tariff related economic impacts on everything from goods prices to small companies not hiring, then there is the persistent inflation, and obviously global events.

I think things are really fked up and not sure how long our stock market can just keep rallying even with algos buying every dip. I could be totally wrong. Are 9 out 10 economists wrong about timing the next recession or whatever?

I honestly don’t care. If there is good news related at this 8pm announcement tonight, I will prob move 20% of my portfolio back to I fund. All my contributions are still going to C and I anyway, because I know how investing works and CAGR and that time in market is best, but just recently I really didn’t like the way things felt and got into G to be safe.

Who knows. This is just me. You do you. I still think we are due for a massive recession for 20 different reasons like AI impacts and articles about how hard it is, even in DC, for folks to find jobs. I am just super bearish and pessimistic in general.[/quote]

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