Reply to Harris beating Trump in Iowa

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Yes, stake all your hope in this one poll even though the New York Times, USA Today, and Atlas have Trump winning in most of the swing states. Create an account on a betting site and go all in on Harris winning Iowa and every swing state because of one single poll. What could go wrong?[/quote]

No they don’t. Stop lying, especially those that can be debunked with a simple click of the mouse.

NYT’s own polls has her ahead in enough swing states to win the electoral college. Their poll tracker, in spite of being affected by R-leaning deluge of polls, has no candidate currently ahead enough to win the EC. Same on 538.com. The Post tracker, which only includes very high quality polls, has her narrowly and consistently ahead to win 270 EC. All the aggregators show some movement toward Harris in there last few days so there may be some shift happening. Whatever is happening is certainly not in the direction of Trump. But bottom line, it remains too close to call.[/quote]

Please look at 538 it has swung back in Trump's direction over the last 2 days[/quote]

See Nate Silver's post on herding[/quote]

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