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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Trump has as much chance of winning this election as he has of winning Michigan.  It's unlikely, but possible.

Despite what the very partisan and biased junk polls like Trafalgar want to make you think, Trump is not gaining and is not leading.  Harris is holding steady and slightly ahead, but within the margin of error.  The fake polls that are out there are laying the groundwork for what Trump does best, lie and cheat.  His internal polling shows that he is losing and he is seeding the media so that he can claim the election was stolen (it wasn't, he's just a terrible candidate) and give him what he believes are plausible reasons to do what he did in 2020, which is try to steal the election himself.  He will fail just like he did in 2020.  62 court cases and people like Kemp and Raffensperger will continue to tell the truth, that he lost and that he doesn't have any grounds to contend that he won.

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I'd love to believe you, but facts from today say otherwise. There has been a slight uptick in Trump support in swing states. Nate Silver has a piece about it, and the NYT and 538 have registered the same effects. These are credible sources, PP.

Everything is still within the margin of error... but the trend is not in Harris' favor.

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Nate Silver is no longer impartial.  Earlier this year, he went to work for PolyMarket which is owned and run by Peter Thiel, the billionaire who is extremely conservative and MAGA.  Thiel spends a lot of his time trying to manipulate the political landscape, such as bankrolling JD Vance and spend a lot of money on conservative Super PACs.  Thiel has a great deal of influence on Nate Silver now and since his employment at PolyMarket, Silver has leaned much further right than he ever has.

538 is also no longer a reliable source.  It's based on polls and they have allowed a lot of junk polls.  Close to 50% of the polls currently in the 538 averages are right-leaning partisan polls that have been submitted to try and tilt the 538 results.  As another PP said in another thread, garbage in, garbage out.  When the data that is used to compile the aggregate is tainted and biased, then the aggregate no longer has accurate meaning.[/quote]

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