Reply to Mary Cheh not running for re-election?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Is it too late for some of the candidates to drop out and consolidate against Goulet?[/quote]

It was too late a month ago. But it was really said that Bergman, Duncan, Finley and Frumin couldn't figure it out. If Goulet wins, we can blame their egos for that.[/quote]

I am not sure why you would blame Frumin. He has outraised everyone else in the race and most particularly by donors from Ward 3. He cannot ask or force others to come to the rational decision that the other campaigns are not as viable as his.[/quote]
[b]Tricia Duncan’s campaign, endorsed by Cheh, is not as viable as Frumin?[/b]

Bergman and Finely are ego campaigns and pretty sad ones at that. But the idea that only Frumin, the perennial loser candidate, is the only viable one to win is silly. How many times has he lost in the past?[/quote]

She literally received 12 donations in the last month. 12. And only a couple of those after the so-called endorsement. That is anemic and shows that other than the Palisades community Association, her campaign has zero traction across the Ward.[/quote]
This is a stupid point of comparison and irrelevant as a point of comparison. Frumin is literally Cheh’s campaign treasurer so he has a full donor list to work from. Monash has done well at fundraising, it’s totally meaningless as a gauge of anything.

[/quote]

Wouldn't that be a tell if it were true that Frumin was using Cheh's donor list and they, you know, were supporting him and not Duncan?

Maybe the Councilmember isn't the savviest retail politician out there?[/quote]
What it tells me is that Frumin started at an advanced with the obvious, low-hanging fruit donors from his exposure as part of his role with Cheh and prior campaigns. It’s also just factually true that he started the race with higher name recognition.

Duncan’s task was always going to be to get traction outside Palisades. I’m not sure that she’s been that successful, however I don’t think the number of donations have anything to do with it. She didn’t position herself constructively on redistricting, so win over any reliable, primary voters in an off-year election in Cleveland Park. So it’s a stance that hurt her on net on an issue that could have given her a platform to show that she can differentiate herself and bridge boundaries.

But while I don’t think she’s going to win, I also don’t think she should drop out. Same as Frumin, he’s not going to win either but he’s earned the right to see this out.

Finley, on the other hand, should have dropped out the day after not getting the GGW endorsement because that is his whole campaign. Why he chose to stay in the race without that endorsement, I have no idea. Plus, he’s not even running a credible campaign. Where are his signs? If there was a priority it would be browbeating Finley into quitting the race.

[/quote]

I really think you are underestimating the value of donations and yard signs, which generally go and in hand with them. Look at that DC Geek map, Duncan's donations are all from the first month and are generally located in her neighborhood. Frumin's are all over the ward, as a comparison.[/quote]

I'm canvassing DC voters. I've canvassed plenty of voters who have a candidate sign in their yard who can be persuaded or are actually voting for other candidates. I don't think they are as strong a sign of support as people think they are. I hate them because they are such a waste-both of $$ and supplies. They are also blocking dropoff areas at libraries, schools and rec centers which need to be clear for people with disabilities.

Based on what I'm hearing at the doors. It is anyone's race still. I just wish more candidates would outline what policies they support. [/quote]

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