Reply to Last minute plan B if schools don’t open?

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[quote=Anonymous]Put me down for trusting Emily Oster on these issues. Her books on risk assessment and decision making in pregnancy and parenting are fantastic, and her leadership on Covid has been right in that vein -- how do parents and policy makers assess the threat of Covid and make decisions for children in response? She is much better suited to address this from a policy perspective than individual healthcare professionals because she has so much experience in looking at statistical data and weighing conflicting risks (like the risk of Covid weighed against the risks associated with keeping children at home for months or years).

That said, I don't know a single healthcare professional who is advocating in favor of closing schools, or would say that a single limitation (like needing to do lunches indoors) should torpedo IPL by itself. Most doctors and nurses I know have had their kids in some kind of group care (whether school or daycare or similar) since April or May of 2020 because they have to work in person. Some have nannies or tutors instead, but even those folks have been letting their kids go to activities and other group settings (yes, even indoors) for months and months and months because the benefit to their kids far outweighs the risk of Covid.

Anyone who is approaching this conversation without centering the premise that kids need to be in school is arguing in bad faith. Do some people have outlier kids who will be fine with IPL? Sure. Is this most kids? No. Most kids need to be in school. The question is what risk mitigation measures can we take to make that as safe as possible, understanding that nothing is 100%.

Now, if Covid were killing or paralyzing kids in high numbers, totally different analysis. It isn't.[/quote]

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