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Reply to "Fierce competition for Fall 2021 admissions, if lots of current seniors defer?"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Save your money folks. With more deferments than usual and no international students to fill the coffers, full pay is going to be more and more important.[/quote] This.[/quote] Agree. It’s all about revenue. I think the colleges are allowing what will be a higher % of 2020 scholarship students to defer and admitting full pay (and OOS for publics) off the waitlist to fill those spots and fill in for the missing international students. The 2021 scholarship students will be screwed. Full pay may be advantaged in 2021, especially if the international students aren’t back. [/quote] Maybe. But there will be no fewer slots for the rightful Class of 2021 - there will be fewer slots for deferrals and transfers, as always. [/quote] That may or may not be true. However, I do think that a college that is taking a financial hit would be happy to let a scholarship student defer if they can replace them with a full-pay student for this fall. It's not clear what happens to scholarships for those who choose to defer, but I'm pretty sure some number of kids who defer never show up at all. [/quote] Let’s just say the colleges bank on the deferrals not showing up and leave it at that because y’all are dense. [/quote] Apparently you're too dense to explain what you really mean, but the point is that the colleges are just focusing on filling the class of 2020 with as many full-pay students as possible and aren't really worrying too much about 2021. If they can defer a scholarship student and replace them with a full pay student, great. Who knows what the situation with COVID/the economy/international students will be then? Some of the deferred kids may never come, many of them may. They'll just cross that bridge when they come to it. It could be a massive cluster**** and totally screw the 2021 grads, but they don't care about that. They just care about keeping the $$ coming in now. [/quote] Look, colleges are A-1 in the area of damage control. Those seats will be filled, and there will not be nearly as many deferrals as some of the PP's think there will be. [/quote] There doesn’t have to be. The number of spots for non-athlete, non-legacy, non-hooked kids is so small at highly rated colleges to begin with. The kids that defer aren’t going to cut into the number of athletes they recruit. The real variable here is international students. If they stay away, it will be fine for the US applicants. If they come back in 2021 (or 2022...) in large numbers, then those kids are screwed. But the colleges don’t care about that. They just care about filling seats and collecting tuition. I also wonder if they’re thinking that a they might be more able to manage reopening if they have fewer students. It would make “social distancing” in the dorms and classes easier. I’m not freaking out about this, but I am frustrated and sad, because, after thinking about it, I realized that colleges have no incentive to try to be fair to the class of 2021 and those that follow. It’s also annoying to hear the complaints of the parents of the class of 2020. Those students had a normal college application process, and now have all kinds of options. They may not have a “normal” freshman year, but I don’t think such a thing will exist for quite some time. At least until after our kids are out of college. [/quote]
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