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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]
French person here.

OK, cool down everyone. The sad truth is that the West will, and HAS TO, let Ukraine do the actual fighting (with significant sanctions and weaponry distribution), otherwise we risk an escalation into WWIII and possible nuclear use.

This was always the plan. Ukraine is not part of NATO, and you can argue forever about whether it was blocked to preserve the tenuous east-west geopolitical truce, but the fact is, it's not in NATO and does not have to be protected with the full military might of western countries.

Social media images of Ukrainian suffering will make us weep but will not change the plan.

However, I can promise you that sanctions are here to stay. These are the harshest ever implemented on Russia. The more genocide there is, the longer and more severe they will be, until the entire Russian economy collapses and Putin is forced out. That also will lead to immense suffering on the part of the Russian population.

There is no good option.

NATO will not risk it's populations safety and wellbeing by escalating this conflict beyond sanctions and arms/materials provision. It is already gearing up for a refugee crisis of millions of Ukrainians.

BUT - Putin has NO options AT ALL. He has cornered himself like a rat. He can all of Ukraine. But he will lose, because retribution will strangle his country's economy into oblivion. At some point his assets, instead of being frozen, may be seized outright depending on Hague tribunal decisions.

This is the beginning of the end for Putin.

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Well said. Thank you! [/quote]

Don’t forget to cast your gaze to China to watch what they’re doing.[/quote]

China doesn't want this buck passed to them. Their entire Pacific hegemony plan and their growing ownership of African resources depends on a fractured West. They are not happy to see NATO and wealthy nations around the world unite to rescue a satellite claimed in the name of history by a larger nation, since that is exactly what they want to do to Taiwan and other islands.

Significantly, you'll note that Japan hastened to rebuke Russia and join the sanctions effort, to send a strong message to China. Japan has no geographic ties to Ukraine. They see Ukraine as a European Taiwan, and as those Japanese islands that China claims for itself.

So China will largely sit this one out, I think. It might delay its plans to annex Taiwan for a few years, unless there is uncontrolled escalation between Russia and NATO and a third world war is triggered, in which case China will seize the opportunity to swallow all kinds of islands while we are distracted.

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