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Reply to "Trump found Guilty on all charges! "
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]34 down, 57 more to go. :lol:[/quote] The FL stolen documents trial will take place after the election. Trump will lose and Judge Cannon will have nothing to gain by yielding to MAGA. A Navy Commander received ten years for ONE document last week in a federal FL court. Trump and his lawyers didn't think this through very well when they were rallying for delay. :D [/quote] When he loses in November, the cheeto will flame out, consumed by his hatred and the fast approaching accountability for his mountain of crimes. [/quote] I'm starting to get worried Trump will win despite the convictions. Biden's electoral victory was only 44,000 votes in 2020 across a few states. Joe's approval rate is down 10pts despite all he has accomplished. Support from people of color and younger votes has declined. WHAT'S WRONG WITH THEM? DO THEY WANT 4 YEARS OF TRUMP?! [/quote] But 2 of the 3 polls taken since the conviction have shown that Biden went from a dead even to +2%. Slightly more people changed from undecided or Trump to Biden than went from undecided or Biden to Trump. There are more people who care about the conviction than don't. And this is likely to be a slow erosion of Trump support. Until the next election oriented news, it is likely to slide a percent or two more in the next few weeks. Right now nearly 60% of the population felt that the conviction was right and that Trump is a felon and that it is a bad thing. There are still the rabid base who don't care or those who decided that the way the trial was run was a bad thing and will go toward Trump, but it is a smaller group than those that swing away from Trump. I expect that when November rolls around, the proportion of people voting for Biden and Trump will be about the same as 2020, but in smaller numbers. There was unprecedented voter turnout for 2020. I don't think we'll have that again, but I expect that the numbers will stay about the same. That's for the popular vote. The real question is where are those votes and how will the electoral college shake out.[/quote]
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