Reply to CORONAVIRUS/COVID-19 NEW MEGA THREAD

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]This site has the best stats.  [b]US is on track to follow Italy. [/b] Not good.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/[/quote]

I am not sure what you are inferring that from.  You can't just look at the number of cases--the number per capita is important.  And Worldometer gives you that.

The US is sandwiched between Germany (more cases) and Switzerland (fewer cases).  But if you look at cases per million of population you get a much different story:

Germany: 33
US: 5
Switzerland: 100

What this means is that we have a much better chance of routing the virus more easily than Germany and a whole lot easier than Switzerland because we are still at a stage where non-pharmaceutical measures can work to slow down spread.  (Switzerland I am afraid is past this.)

If we act NOW to close down schools, ban public gatherings, and suspend religious services we have a very good chance of flattening the curve.  A lot of other countries are now looking at Italy and saying that is not what we want to happen.  Ireland and Belgium have taken these actions.  France, Spain, and Germany are now closing down schools but they are much alter in the cycle than we are.[/quote]

I would not be so optimistic about the US. The number of cases in the US is drastically under-reported right now because of the catastrophic lack of available testing, with our tests per million people a small fraction of other countries. 
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