Reply to Does anyone know the status of the Proposed BASIS Expansion

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Disagree that many more CH parents will head to JA, EH and SH if most BASIS spits are pinned down by K-4 families. [b]More like more will move or go private.[/b] BASIS has been the Hill’s most popular MS for more than a decade now for a reason. [/quote]

Unlikely. Lots of parents on the Hill can't afford to move or go private. They will send their kids to Hill MS or other charters.[/quote]

Depends on the school. Most IB Brent families can afford private ($$ real estate, little low cost housing) plus a sizable chunk of L-T, Maury & Watkins IB families. Obviously not all families will go private for a variety of reasons with financials as a heavy component, but I do think if BASIS middle school spots dry up, at least a third of families that would have gone there will move or go private instead.[/quote]

As somebody who follows education/school data pretty closely, as well as population/demographic data, I see a slightly different way the next 5-10 years plays out. Yes, some will go to private for various reasons. But the number of families with middle and high school aged children in DC has been increasing (and is likely to continue). Schools that were in disrepair/poor physical condition are one by one being renovated, resulting in schools kids, families and teachers want to spend time in. Enrollment is increasing at many middle and high schools, which is leading to additional course offerings, clubs, and teams. Unfortunately with the way our school funding works, it is a bit of a chicken or the egg situation -- if the schools don't have programs/courses/teams/clubs then kids look elsewhere. So these increases in enrollment are huge with regards to allowing for more teachers to offer a larger variety of courses. 
As has been discussed ad nauseum on this and other threads, the novelty/shine of some schools is starting to wear and parents are realizing there is more than one 'good' option, so you are seeing some kids returning back to their former school after trying a new school for a couple of years. All this to say, I think looking at historical trends doesn't really apply in the landscape today, and that the raw number of families not choosing to go to private or move will continue to increase.[/quote]

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