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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]A lot of the polling assumes average voter turnout.

I think they are bigly underestimating women and youth vote and energy around Dobbs and abortion rights.[/quote]

I think you're over estimating young people's support for Biden. When both candidates are awful, people who have been voting for years pick the lesser of two evils. People who are occasional voters stay home [/quote]

There is no blueprint to follow when trying to predict turnout and results of the 2024 presidential election as we've never had two major party candidates as unpopular and potentially unfit as the two presumed 2024 nominees. The dynamics of this year's election has the brains of political scientists working overtime. [/quote]

Looking at the elections held in 2021, 2022 and 2023 is a very good place to start.[/quote]

There have been a few congressional election winners recently that were as old as Trump and Biden but their approval ratings were higher than Trump and Biden's. Our high profile senators over the age of 70 are starting to lose popularity in their home states which is a further sign of voters losing interest in voting for elderly, long-tenured politicians and this is another ominous sign for Trump and Biden. Grassley, Schumer, Crapo, and Blumenthal to name a few were all recently re-elected but saw significant declines in their margins of victory from their previous election.[/quote]

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