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Metropolitan DC Local Politics
Reply to "Mary Cheh not running for re-election?"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Is it too late for some of the candidates to drop out and consolidate against Goulet?[/quote] It was too late a month ago. But it was really said that Bergman, Duncan, Finley and Frumin couldn't figure it out. If Goulet wins, we can blame their egos for that.[/quote] I am not sure why you would blame Frumin. He has outraised everyone else in the race and most particularly by donors from Ward 3. He cannot ask or force others to come to the rational decision that the other campaigns are not as viable as his.[/quote] [b]Tricia Duncan’s campaign, endorsed by Cheh, is not as viable as Frumin?[/b] Bergman and Finely are ego campaigns and pretty sad ones at that. But the idea that only Frumin, the perennial loser candidate, is the only viable one to win is silly. How many times has he lost in the past?[/quote] She literally received 12 donations in the last month. 12. And only a couple of those after the so-called endorsement. That is anemic and shows that other than the Palisades community Association, her campaign has zero traction across the Ward.[/quote] This is a stupid point of comparison and irrelevant as a point of comparison. Frumin is literally Cheh’s campaign treasurer so he has a full donor list to work from. Monash has done well at fundraising, it’s totally meaningless as a gauge of anything. [/quote] There's really nothing else to go on. If you want to run a poll with 8 candidates, feel free. Her donations are anemic, and pretty much only from the Palisades. She's a neighborhood candidate who got a boost from Cheh's choice to 'only choose a woman'. Who knows, she might win. There are so many candidates 20-30% is likely enough to win.[/quote] In the absence of polling, most normal people usually track endorsements before weighting fundraising. [/quote] Here are Frumin;s endorsements: https://fruminforward3.com/endorsements/ The other main endorsements are split among Goulet, Bergman, Finley and Duncan. The fire fighters were the endorsement that launched the Cheh campaign in 2006. Frumin was able to secure that this year. In 2006, Cheh received the endorsement of Kathy Patterson, who encouraged her to run. The difference this year is that Cheh simply said she was going to vote for Duncan, but it wasn't a formal endorsement, and to date, I haven't receive any sort of email or mailing from Cheh encouraging voters to support Duncan. Patterson did that in a big way in 2006.[/quote]
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