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[quote=Anonymous]So as I see it, between now and Feb 8, McConnell effectively has three choices:

1. Negotiate a package deal with Dems that gives something for everyone.  This would include a DACA fix, maybe other immigration reform, border security money, wall money for Trump, etc.  Quite frankly, I don't see that there's enough time between now and Feb 8 to cobble together something that makes enough people happy to get this passed.

2. Allow a reasonable DACA fix to come up for a vote, as he promised today.  If McConnell allows that, DACA passes.  It will have 49 votes from Dems plus several votes from Republicans.  I read that something like 56 or 57 Senators are already on record supporting a clean DACA fix.

3. Use a dirty trick to renege on his promise.  There are a few ways he could do this.  For example, he could refuse to let a clean DACA fix get a vote, and insist that it has to be dirtied up with Tea Party amendments that he knows won't pass.  He could simply walk away from his promise and say there's more pressing business.  If he does that though, he takes all the heat himself, and Trump will happily push blame on McConnell.

McConnell's no fool, so I suspect he'll do #2.  DACA (DREAM Act) will pass the Senate.

So then the questions become:

1. Will Paul Ryan refuse to give a vote in the House?  That's a lot harder to do if the Senate has passed it.  I'm not sure Paul Ryan wants to become the face of anti-immigration.  He's too invested in people liking him.  Plus, a lot of Republican House members also want a clean DACA bill they can vote for.

2. If Ryan allows a vote in the House, and DACA passes there too, then the weight is on Trump to veto or not.  I've got no idea what he'd do.  He's too squishy to judge.[/quote]

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