Reply to Board of Veterans Appeals (Attorney Advisor)

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I think people here are catastrophizing. We don’t know what will happen, so I’m suspicious of anyone who announces they know the number with certainty. But we are in a better position than a lot of people. Clearly we are vulnerable to the RIF, some will probably lose jobs, but I do not think we are the priority for deep cuts. Yes, a lot of agencies have cut past the point of functioning, but VA is cutting less than other agencies percentage wise. That tells me this administration cares about our mission enough to not want to destroy it. We are mission critical. The project 2025 conservative agenda for VA is to privatize VHA and automate VBA. We don’t feature. So my guess is the RIFs focus on VHA to break it to the point of facilitating privatization. I think there will likely be a push to utilize AI more at VBA with an eye towards automation, but I don’t think it will get far because AI hallucinates. I don’t think they’ll make moves to automate our jobs unless it works at VBA and there’s no big pushback.

My most hopeful prediction is maybe they fire non vet probies, and maybe won’t even get that far if enough people take the DRP 2.0. I don’t know what will happen, but that’s my hopeful speculation. [/quote]

AI hallucination is a nonissue in this context. It hallucinates because it's allowed to do so. There are products that do not hallucinate, such as that provided by Lexis. The hallucination that you hear about in briefs and the news is because folks are using products like off the shelf GPT, which has no parameters that would prevent the hallucination. I was using AI before I joined BVA, and am a strong proponent for its rollout at BVA.

BVA is literally decades behind what the rest of the legal community is doing in terms of doc review, de-duplicating, predictive coding, analysis, etc. [/quote]

I’m hopeful that in the next 10 years, BVA will widely implement AI to adjudicate cases. If all goes well, BVA can reduce attorney headcount to 100 experienced attorneys to conduct quality reviews of AI decisions.[/quote]

Will AI make credibility determinations? That is a major issue that comes into factor with lay evidence.  Also, would CAVC accept a credibility determination made by AI?[/quote]

Sure, it could. It would consider the same things that we do - consistency, corroboration, testimonial infirmities, etc.

CCW can absolutely be programmed.

BVA work is very basic and formulaic. [/quote]

You think the Court will accept credibility determinations made by a computer program?  [/quote]

You are missing the point. AI is a tool. It is not the lawyer. AI would review and gather relevant evidence. It would present it and reach a suggested conclusion. An attorney/VLJ would review it. It is just a tool.

So many in here have clearly never used AI and the resistance to technology that could vastly improve the service to veterans is a perfect example of why the general public is so quick to celebrate the termination of bureaucrats and disruptions to our lives.

The government is a bloated dinosaur that is too protective of the notion of how things were/are done in order to protect the bloat and jobs. [/quote]

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