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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]This paragraph in this article https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/07/briefing/the-misguided-war-on-the-sat.html

tells us the state of admissions without standardized scores.  It is a lottery!  If it is a lottery don't you want more tickets which means more applications?  The price of the ticket is time spent filling out more applications and extreme stress for the kids.

Comeaux — a professor of higher education at the University of California, Riverside, and co-chair of the state’s review of standardized tests — favors this approach. He agrees that the SAT and ACT predict later success. But he prefers a stripped-down admissions system in which colleges set minimum requirements, based largely on high school grades, and then admit students by lottery. “Having a lottery,” Comeaux said, “would make us radically rethink what it means to gain access and also to learn, rather than accepting the status quo.”[/quote]

You want more tickets in the SAME DRAWING to improve your odds.

Applying to 20 schools is playing 20 DIFFERENT lotteries. They are independent draws.

[/quote]

Statistically it does not change your chances much.  Much like buying 1 vs 10 tickets to the powerball.  the changes are insignificant.

In this case you are still applying to schools with single digit acceptance rates, and you chance is single digits at each school. [/quote]

Math is math, and they are independent events - but the problem is you can't calculate how it increases your odds to apply to more because you can't know what your chances are at any one college.  They are likely not equal to the overall acceptance rate, so that number does not help in the game theory calculation.

It works with dice or a deck of cards (or powerball), but you can't know what the increase is in something like college admissions.[/quote]

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