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Reply to "Russia - civil war has broken out"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I’m dumb, can someone put this all into context for me???[/quote] Here's the Reader's Digest version: 1. The Wagner Group, arguably the most successful military unit in Ukraine responsible for taking Bakhmut, pulled out his troops recently and dismissed about 30K of his troops (a mix of mercenaries, hardcore volunteers and convicts) back to Russia for fulfilling their contracts. 2. Someone in the Russian military killed about 2K of his troops that were in encampment off the front lines. 3. Yevgeny Prigozhin, head of the group, made an eye-for-an-eye announcement that the FSB has labeled treasonous and issued a warrant for his arrest. 4. Prigozhin has moved his troops into Rostov-on-Don, complete with tanks and appears to be solidifying positions currently. He may also be marshaling more troops there. 5. It's currently unclear if he will (a) consolidate power there and form a breakaway region from Russia (the smart move), or (b) move further in on a death march (unlikely). (a) is a good move for Prigozhin, since he basically is now an Enemy of the State and a great thing for the Ukraine offensive, since it would be difficult for Russia to send reinforcements while a major supply route runs through a 'rebel' area - Prigozhin could 'intercept' any such move. 6. No matter what happens, the RT propagandists and Kremlin won't be able to keep a lid on this or control spin with the Public. Putin's authority will diminish each and every day Prigozhin is alive with his troops. In a country whose authority with the Public rests in only one person (Putin), this is a very dangerous situation for anyone supporting Putin, since the Informant Network works both ways and a lot of enemies are made. https://www.jstor.org/stable/26549853 Does this help clarify, or are there specific points you're looking for? [/quote]
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