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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]someone posted this weird stat:

TJ 79/200 = 39.5%
Blair magnet 21/100 = 21%

Why would you take out 200+ kids out of 423 (class in TJ) just because half go to UVA?  How do you know if 100 of Blair magnet kids applied to HYP or whatever and not UMD? You really did pull that number out of your a$$.

Don't make assumptions. Take the total number, even if half decided to not apply to those schools because you have no idea if 50%, 70%, or 10% of Blair magnet kids applied to those schools:

2015 to 2017 numbers:

TJ 79/423 = 16.5%

Blair magnet 100 (and assume all 21 on the polaris site are from the magnet) then 21/100  = 21%.

well, technically the data is from 2015-2017 graduate rate so it will be  TJ 79 / (420*3) = 6.3%  or  Blair 21 / 300 = 7%.  we have to remember that TJ is gifted students and Blair only 100 so for Blair we don't count entire school number just the gifted.  However, we also have to understand that the HYPS graduation data is only 88% complete so it is not exactly accurate.

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The other question is if the reverse engineering of rated is a reliable predictor based on population distribution (bell curve, general statistics). One argues that simplistically, it is good enough, but without more data, my answer is no. [/quote]

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