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Reply to "2022 Senate Map"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I’d like to have some of whatever this Simon Rosenberg is smoking.[/quote] You can. Read his tweet thread and follow the links he supplies. [/quote] Nate and his team have thoroughly debunked this Simon Rosenberg’s BS. [/quote] I just listened to the podcast where he discussed this. His argument seems to be that his model adjusts for biased polls and that democrats could release their own partisan polls. It sure that’s really a debunking. He’s not saying the polls are good. He’s just saying his model (unlike real clear politics) takes their bias into account. [/quote] He's saying that SR's analysis is BS. "Hopium" is what he called it - which I guess is just an edgelord say of saying that it's a basket of wishes. Things don't look great for us Dems right now. As an optimist, I can't help but hope that we will hold the Senate still. Seems not impossible. I keep trying to talk myself through the "how bad could it get" scenario. At least with Biden in the WH they can't get through any truly egregious legislation; they just won't do anything except probably launch a hundred investigations and impeachments, and not confirm any more judges.[/quote] Yes, he called it hopium, but he had no response to the claim that a lot of these polls are biased. In fact, he essentially confirmed they were because he said that it was a real problem for the RealClearPolitics site because they don't account for that bias and just do a straight average.[/quote] If the D internal polls were good for them, they’d be releasing them. [/quote] When have internal polls ever been released? [/quote] They are sometimes, but that's irrelevant. The R polls we're talking about are not internal polls (i.e. ones done by the campaigns or the party). They are just done by partisan orgs.[/quote]
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