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Reply to "Trump Approval Polls"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Anyone familiar with polling, why do Trump's approval numbers from the Economist/Yougov poll not match the actual result tables that they directly link to? For instance, Real Clear Reporting reports 43% while the link table (and the separate topline table they also release) show 39%. https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_0AkNOQp.pdf https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econtoplines_6P3FccQ.pdf Is there some weighted table published elsewhere? If so, where is it?[/quote] You are linking to last week's poll. October 24 - 27, 2025 - 1623 U.S. Adult Citizens (Maybe RCP had a stale link). 43% is this week's: October 31 - November 3, 2025 - 1656 U.S. Adult Citizens (page 19) https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_5RO6eos.pdf Note that RCP incorrectly reports this as "1475 RV", when the39% is actually "1656 US Adult Citizens, of whom 1475 are RV" Good on you for looking for the data![/quote] No, I confused myself! This week's poll is still 39%, per my link above! The discrepancy is probably for weighting, adjusting the poll sample demographics to the US RV demographics. Margin of error ± 3.4% (adjusted for weighting) ± 3.1% (Registered voters) Learn more at https://www.pewresearch.org/methods/2018/01/26/how-different-weighting-methods-work[/quote] This maybe explains why economiat website doesn't match other sites reporting the same data. It appears that Economist uses the all citizens data on its tracker, not the RV. (It also has a state by start breakdown (Trump is net negative in all swing states except AZ), that claims to use 2024 voter data ) https://www.economist.com/interactive/trump-approval-tracker[/quote]
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