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College and University Discussion
Reply to "1600 SAT, 10 APs, 5 DEs, 5 college math/CS courses. Kid wants UVA ED, but I think they can aim higher?"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]OP here. I went through Naviance and loaded all the scattergrams into the AI context and reran the list. Here are the updated results. Some of this was surprising. Assuming a 1600 SAT, here is the current read: George Mason Honors: 90-95% Virginia Tech: 65-80% William & Mary: 60-75% Wisconsin: 40-55% University of Washington: 40-55% overall, much lower for direct CS Purdue: 35-50% UMD: 30-45% UVA: 25-40% UIUC: 18-28% direct CS, 28-38% for CS+X/math-adjacent options Michigan: 18-32% UCSD: 18-28% CMU: 12-22% overall, 4-10% for SCS Cornell: 10-18% RD, maybe 15-25% ED Georgia Tech: 10-18% The interesting part is that the scattergrams did not move every school equally. The 1600 helps, but it does not erase the GPA issue at schools where the admit band from our high school is clearly much higher. The biggest surprises were CMU and Cornell. They are still very hard and not safe at all, but the scattergrams showed at least some admits in a similar GPA range. That moved them into the “serious reach” category rather than “don’t bother.” Wisconsin, Purdue, University of Washington, and UCSD also looked more realistic than expected for stronger CS programs, though Washington has the direct-CS caveat and UCSD has the UC/OOS/major-admission caveat. Georgia Tech was the opposite surprise. It is an amazing CS school and still worth applying to, but the scattergram made it look much less likely because the admits seemed concentrated at a higher weighted GPA range. I would treat it as a high reach/lottery, not likely. UVA also looked harder than expected from our school, but we would still apply because it is in-state and has strong overall prestige. The schools that looked like “no one got in regardless” or “people got in, but not with a GPA profile close enough to my child’s” were MIT, Harvard, Yale, Stanford, Princeton, Berkeley, UT Austin, Penn, Columbia, USC, UCLA, Rice, and Duke. So the current application list is probably: George Mason Honors Virginia Tech UVA Purdue Wisconsin University of Washington UIUC Cornell CMU Michigan Georgia Tech UCSD Optional: William & Mary and UMD. The way I am reading it now is: Virginia Tech is the strong baseline, Purdue/Wisconsin/Washington/UCSD are the practical higher-ranked CS options, Cornell/CMU are the serious reach shots, and Georgia Tech is worth applying to but should be treated as unlikely. [/quote] Good work. Appreciate the effort. [/quote]
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