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Reply to "What are your political predictions for 2024?"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Why will 4 occur?[/quote] Third party candidate will capture a few electoral votes. [/quote] More than a few. Latest national Quinnipiac poll has Biden 38, Trump 36, Kennedy 22. If they ever debate, it'll be Kennedy that sounds like the reasonable one. Lots of opportunities for constitutional chaos [/quote] You cannot be serious- Kennedy? Reasonable? No [/quote] Reuters/Ipsos GE: Trump 43, Biden 38 / multi way: Trump 39, Biden 34, Kennedy 8, Phillips 2. Good news is that there's still plenty of undecideds. The Messenger/Harris: Trump 53, Biden 47 / multi way: Trump 45, Biden 36, Kennedy 14, Stein 3, West 2 The Economist: Trump 44, Biden 43 (seems to be the best Biden poll recently) Morning Consult: Trump 45, Biden 40 All from this past week. The pattern clear. While Trump is outperforming 2020 polls and Biden underperforming 2020 polls, there are also enough undecideds to swing the vote. The extra candidates seem to hurt both Trump and Biden equally, [/quote]
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