Reply to Does DCPS care? New model shows even with masks, 40% of students will still be infected with Delta

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Reply to "Does DCPS care? New model shows even with masks, 40% of students will still be infected with Delta "

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Folks delta will be gone in about 4 weeks.[/quote]

More infectious = faster burn out?[/quote]

That's one hypothesis.  The rapid increase and decrease in delta was seen in the UK and India.  India is something like 4% vaccinated, so certainly that trajectory isn't caused by a high vaccination rate.

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India stopped testing people ages ago, so when 12 people in a village died of respiratory ailments, they could say “not Covid because they didn’t test positive.” Delta is still huge in the southern state of Kerala. (I have family there.)

And it wasn’t very long ago (February) that India was being congratulated on having ended the pandemic with very little damage … until they opened everything and thousands of people (likely millions because they seriously undercounted based on the government’s wishes) died or became severely ill. I wouldn’t necessarily use India to explain the virus’s behavior because the data are so flawed. If true in the UK, then that’s a basis for more confidence.[/quote]

That's interesting regarding India.  I was looking at this, for context:  https://fortune.com/2021/08/03/covid-delta-variant-wave-uk-have-already-receded-us/

Do we have info on delta in other countries that would more closely approximate the U.S.?  I know that people dismiss the UK experience out of hand because we have different vaccination rates.

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My family lives in Delhi and they say life is back to normal pretty much, during the height of it, we knew tons of people that were sick, and everyone we know there knows multiple people that died (like they know at least 10-20 other people that died). I think part of why it went through India so quickly is that people live in multi-generational families, much easier to spread quickly and then burn out when you have 5-10 or more people living under one roof. [/quote]

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