Reply to Fierce competition for Fall 2021 admissions, if lots of current seniors defer?

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]I think there is a lot of speculation here and a lot of premature panic.  I've said this on another thread, but I don't think there will be a massive amount of deferrals, especially at the selective schools.  PPs are correct in that the class of 2020 does have some benefits right now.  My senior just got into the absolute dream, big stretch of a school, that we thought DC had a snowball's chance in hell of getting into.  So, chalk one up for the class of 2020 - waitlists are moving and lots of kids are getting into reach schools right now.  But I think that is NOT a function of 2020s deferring, but rather international students not coming, and families choosing cheaper schools.  We are full-pay, OOS at the school DC just got into.  International students will NOT be able to come to campus this year (especially new admits) because the consulates are closed and no visas are being issued. Some campuses are not allowing them to be on campus, at least first semester.  Schools need to make up for that loss of tuition by admitting OOS kids (selective publics) and full-pay families (publics and privates).

Juniors - I think it's still a big question mark.  I wouldn't stress about losing out on the spring season of sports (for recruiting purposes), or fewer ACT/SAT dates.  That is going to affect every single Junior in the country, so universities will figure out a way to do admissions under those circumstances.  Perhaps more deferrals will make for less spots for class of 2021.  But I don't know anyone in my DC's class, or very wide circle of friends in the DMV who are deferring.  Nobody wants to sit around for another year doing nothing.  They are already not happy about sitting around all summer without jobs and travel.  They are all anxious to start college, however that will look.

I have a close friend who teaches at Stanford.  She told me they have several plans in place right now, and one of them is to delay the first semester to start in January.  There are just so many options and different ideas out there and nobody knows what's going to happen.

BUT - we can all agree that it is okay for Juniors and Seniors alike to be sad about missing spring sports, theater productions, concerts, prom, other festivities, and graduation.  They wait a long time to be Juniors and Seniors and they can mourn the loss of those milestones.  Together.

Good luck to all of our kids - let's love and support them all!

[/quote]

Congratulations to your DC! And thank you for your dose of sanity. 
--Mom of a junior and a sophomore who lost a serious recruiting season trying to go with the flow[/quote]

Congrats to your kid, but if it's a state school so unlikely it is a highly selective school (top 25). The speculation on DCUM seems to be about kids getting into the top 25 that were waitlisted.  I just don't see a lot of movement within the top 25.  Families were either given aid, or they have the savings to pay.  Say that a school is 10% international, at the top schools that is like 150-200 spots. Let's be honest, at least half of those are going to find a way to come into the US or are already here (boarding school etc). So we are talking about an extra 75-100 spots -- some of which may be able to keep their spots by being online only (PENN is offering this, and I'm sure others are as well).

Where there will likely be space are kids that were going to go to maybe UVA full-pay from Wisconsin or Washington, and now will go to their state schools.

[/quote]

Thanks for the congratulations - and yes, it's a state school, but it's also a selective top 25.  Think Berkeley, Michigan, or UCLA.  And we do know many seniors who have recently got admission off waitlists at top 25 schools:  3 at Chicago, 3 at UCLA, 2 at Wash U, and 3 at Michigan.  A couple at Barnard too - but I don't know where that falls in rankings. 
I'm forgetting a few.  DC keeps me informed when friends get off WLs.  [/quote]

Schools are letting OOSs off the WLs because they bring in more money than in-state.[/quote]

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