Reply to MASTER Cancel Travel b/c of COVID-19 Questions Thread

Forum Index » Travel Discussion

Reply to "MASTER Cancel Travel b/c of COVID-19 Questions Thread"

Subject:

Emoticons





More smilies

Text Color: Font: Close Marks

[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Right now only 26 people in the entire USA have caught COVID from someone else and most of those people are in a nursing home.

At this point your chances of winning a huge lottery are higher than your chances of catching COVID 19. In the six weeks that it has been spreading there are still less than 100 cases in the US and 48 of those are people expatriates back from China and the cruise ship. A measly 26 have caught it from someone else (and in the confines of a nursing home with a vulnerable population mostly).

The numbers will rise but I think it is alarmist at this stage to be cancelling all travel. It is very very low risk that you will catch it right now, especially when travelling to cities that don't even have confirmed cases. [/quote]

I strongly suspect that these numbers are artificially low because the US has NOT done an adequate job of testing the required number of people to get an accurate sense of the spread of COVID-19. It's already been reported that the initial batch of tests that the CDC sent out for testing was both small AND faulty. If we are seeing community cases in various parts of the country--that is, cases where patient-zero can't be identified--it means that the patient is likely already two or three degrees removed from patient zero, which means [b]statistically that there are likely thousands of Americans with COVID across the country right now.[/b] We just haven't had them tested and reported. As better test kits become more widely available this week, numbers will go drastically up. Likely people have already died with COVID that we don't know about because they haven't been tested.[/quote]

NP, I agree with this--the number of cases is likely much higher than already identified, for the reasons you mention.[/quote]

Apparently genetic study on the cases in WA state indicate it's been in state for ~6 weeks.
[/quote]

Options

	Disable HTML in this message
	Disable BB Code in this message
	Disable smilies in this message

Review message

Search Recent Topics Hottest Topics