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Reply to "Polls and Lols: A 2020 Master Thread"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Trump approval by 2016 vote (Economist/YouGov polls): Clinton: 4% Other: 25% **Non-voters: 34%** Trump: 91% https://twitter.com/gelliottmorris/status/1217457074067689473?s=21[/quote] That doesn't look like enough for re-election. There are so many moving parts that this maybe isn't a terribly useful data point, but if he picks up 4% of the Clinton voters and loses 9% of his own voters, that means -- as between Republican and Democratic voters -- he's down 3 million additional votes. Assuming those votes go to the Democrat, that results in a 9 million vote gap -- which would mean (ignoring 3rd party votes) the Democrat has 53.5% of the vote and Trump has 46.5%. I know that the Electoral College selects the President, but at some point the consent of the governed becomes an issue. [/quote] I think what’s more significant is the very low approval of the other voters (those who voted for Johnson or Stein) and the non-voters.[/quote]
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