Reply to Committee on overcrowding in the Wilson feeder pattern

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]What do you think will actually happen when these large classes of kids hit Wilson?  I have a 6th grader at Deal and the grade is about 575 kids.  The classes below this at all the feeder elementary schools are even larger.  So let's say that Deal hits 650/grade in a few years--totally reasonable and probably conservative projection.  
And there isn't room in the area privates (at least the ones in DC) to absorb any kids.  We tried applying my kid last year to a big 3 and they didn't take any kids from our JKLM.  None.  They took 10 kids overall and the public school kids they took (a whopping 5) were almost all (but 1) from Montgomery County. 
So what really happens?  Boundary change isn't going to happen within 3-5 years.  Does Wilson just get trailers?  How are they going to manage absolutely giant grades?  Any realistic thoughts on this?[/quote]

3 kids from our charter school got into Big 3s last year. Maybe your kid just wasn't good enough to cut it.[/quote]

I knew the insults would start any minute.  Never change DCUM.  Never change.

At our JKLM exactly one kid was accepted into a big 3.  It wasn't my kid.  Perhaps your HRCS is a much better school.  Congrats.

Regardless, these schools have finite spots at 9th grade (or any grade).  
Sidwell takes 20ish at 9th (figure 10 girls, 10 boys).  The Cathedral schools each take around 15.  GDS takes around 30.  Maret around 15.  
Burke will take some.  Field some (I don't know these numbers).   
But regardless these numbers are really small and a drop in the bucket when it comes to any bulge in enrollment numbers at Wilson.  
(and these spots filled in large part by private school K-8 students). 
Then you have the Catholic high schools--some of which are quite big.

But my point being, I'm still wondering what will truly happen to an excess of kids at Wilson.  A common refrain is "kids will go private" but the numbers 
show that these privates are full and their student bodies are ultimately really small.  They're not going to absorb any more than a handful of kids. 
That was my only point.

[/quote]

People also move to MoCo or Fairfax or elsewhere. [/quote]

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