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Reply to "2022 Senate Map"
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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Trafalgar had a C- prior to 2020 and now has an A- which is weird since they got like every 2020 swing state wrong. [img]https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FebNxVaWYAElBTC?format=png&name=medium[/img][/quote] Yup. If Trafalgar is showing Warnock +2, it probably means he will win +4. Trafalgar has a consistent 2-4 point bias toward the Republican candidate in individual races. That's OK - vast majority of pollsters end up having a slight and reliable partisan bias in their polling model. That just reflects the choices made by the pollster writing their poll, collecting their sample, and weighing their sample.[/quote] They aren't showing Warnock +2 They have Walker up +2. https://www.thetrafalgargroup.org/news/insider-advantage-gasen2021-poll/[/quote]
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