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Reply to "Harris beating Trump in Iowa"
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[quote=Anonymous]Nate Silver breaks down Selzer poll. The poll has a reasonable sample size: 808 likely voters. [b]Still, the margin of error for the difference separating the candidates in a poll of that size is ±6.6 points. That means in theory, in 95 out of 100 cases, the “real” number should be somewhere between Trump +3.4 and Harris +9.6 if Selzer had surveyed every single Iowa voter instead of just an 808-person sample.[/b] [twitter]https://x.com/NateSilver538/status/1852869064474968073[/twitter][/quote]
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