Reply to Hurricane Milton

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]

OP here.

3 million without power.

Tampa Bay avoided the worst case scenario with a direct landfall, and its costly surge.

Sarasota had 10 feet of surge.

The biggest surprise of Milton was the unexpectedly intense, and indeed record-breaking, tornado outbreak across Florida. Milton crossed Florida and continued to have a multitude of supercells in advance of its path well out to sea. If the Florida landmass had been any wider, it would have been the largest tornado outbreak in American history (that record still lies with Alabama).

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I saw a post that there was also severe lightning storm and outbreak, I don’t remember that being as much of an issue in hurricanes in the past?[/quote]

OP here.

Modern hurricanes are different than the ones 50 years ago, due to climate change. The biggest change is that now they are frequently subject to Rapid Intensification (RI), and can go, like Milton did, from a tropical storm to a category 5 hurricane in 24 hours. This is due to increasingly warm ocean waters. Water temperature is the fuel of hurricanes, and its increase raises the ceiling of what a hurricane can physically do and what is mathematically possible in terms of high wind speed and low barometric pressure.

Milton's tornado outbreak and Helene's rain output were extremely intense. Tornadoes and extreme rain have always been a feature of hurricanes, but not at this level. We believe they are also intensified by more violent hurricanes. One thing to note is that both tornadoes and extreme rain can affect inland communities far from the point of landfall, so these are not just coastal concerns.

From a point of view of coast and inland preparedness, and threat to life and property, all this is extremely bad news. Governments need to step in and make decisions for coastal communities affected by climate change, and for all inland topographies subject to flooding and flash flooding: this should include building moratoriums and flood insurance restrictions in certain areas.

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