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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Parent of a HS junior who is now terrified.  Student has a 34 ACT and 4.3 WGPA, will have 10 APs total, so far all 5s on those taken in 9th and 10th.

Sounds like all the schools he thought were targets are actually reaches, what he thought were safetys are now targets, and I cannot imagine what actual safetys will be because he will be rejected for yield protection.

It is not entitlement, but there should be some expectation that if you do this, then you will get I
into that (isn't that the rubric they've been taught in MCPS from day one?!?)

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But if this is true, then all other kids who are in the same boat are getting into those "safeties".  The fact is that just like the Flynn effect on IQ scores, there has been a ballooning at the top.  This will cause a societal understanding that there is a bigger basket of really good schools.[/quote]

Show tons of interest in your "safeties".  Let them know that you really want to attend. Visit/do virtual visits/open all emails and click on links/meet with admissions officers/etc---pick several safeties, and note that safety needs to be a school where you DC is above the 75% and the school's acceptance rate (for your major/area of interest) is at least 60%.  Something with a 30% acceptance rate is NOT a safety.

And not there is no rubric.  When schools get 60K applications for a class of 2K students, there cannot be a rubric.  Because 95% of the applicants would be a "good fit"/have GPA and SAT/ACT and EC that would make them an ideal student at University X. But University X only has space for 2K students, so they will offer admissions to 3-5K students (depending upon their yield formulas), and even less really, since they will likely take ~1K students thru ED1/ED2.  Which really means that there are 2-4K slots available from the ~52 Qualified students for RD process (I assume 5K ED1/ED2 and 95% of the remaining 55K are qualified).   
That means an admission rate around 6-7% or lower.

Key is to opening your mind to beyond T20 USNWR ranked schools. Find true safeties, find multiple target schools, but know that targets and reaches, if rate is less than 30/40% are really a crapshoot in the end game

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