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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The coronavirus numbers in DC are already very low right now, and hardly anyone has been vaccinated. By the summer, a large percentage of people will be vaccinated, and the number of coronavirus cases in the city will be extremely low. [/quote]

Fantasy[/quote]

You can just look at the numbers. The infection rate is now below 1.0, which means the outbreak is shrinking.

The positivity rate is 3.4 percent, which is very low (it's supposed to be under 5 percent if you want to reopen schools).

And barely three percent of DC residents have been vaccinated. [/quote]

If we'd stayed virtual through June, maybe. With si many kids sharing air aince last week, community transmission is bound to rise again and jeopardize what OP is hoping for. [/quote]

Stop the disinformation. You have no evidence to show that schools are significant drivers of community spread.[/quote]

CDC says the opposite. They say rates are lower in schools than in the surrounding areas. [/quote]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/outlook/2021/01/04/school-reopening-risk-virus/

PP, the disinformation is the false claim bordering on fantasy that schools would[b]n't[/b] contribute to community spread. Of course they do. [/quote]

You can read the CDC report yourself. It's here: https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2775875

It says, in part: "There has been little evidence that schools have contributed meaningfully to increased community transmission."

Roughly two-thirds of all schools in the United States are currently open in some fashion. Almost 40 percent of all schools are currently in-person, every day. If there was a health problem with opening schools, we'd know it. The CDC says it ain't happening. I'm sure that's very disappointing to you. [/quote]

First of all, see the disclaimer of that 'viewpoint' article, "The findings and conclusions in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the official position of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention."A viewpoint is numerous rungs below a meta-analysis, and it's basically an editorial. Last time we gave too much weight to a viewpoint in a medical journal, we created the opioid crisis.

Second, take a listen of this podcast for a reasonable view of this problem.
https://www.wnycstudios.org/podcasts/otm/episodes/why-press-gets-school-transmission-so-wrong-on-the-media[/quote]

DP. It might just be a "viewpoint" article, but it's hardly a lone voice in the wilderness. There is an international consensus that schools do not *significantly* contribute to community spread and therefore the benefits of opening them outweigh the risks.[/quote]

Almost 40 percent of schools in the US are open -- kids go to school every day, in person. Another 20 percent of schools are open part time, i.e. hybrid. All the CDC did was look at what happened in schools that have been open. It's not an editorial saying people should do one thing or another. It's an analysis of what actually happened in schools that have been open. [/quote]

Telling me that Florida, Texas, and California schools are fully open does not impress me much. I don't want DC hospitals to look like theirs.[/quote]

I live in DC. My kids have been in school since August. Guess how many coronavirus cases they've had at their school? ZERO. [/quote]

My siblings' kids are in public schools in Texas (with masks and distancing required).  Almost every school in their large district has cases.  Several of the middle and high schools continuously hover at about 25-35 cases on an ongoing basis.

So I guess our meaningless anecdotes cancel each other out.[/quote]

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