Reply to Mclean boundary changes - can someone please update?

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Reply to "Mclean boundary changes - can someone please update?"

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]Split feeders are "a" consideration, not "the" consideration.

There's a lot more uncertainty in the projections due to coronavirus... current school year enrollments have dropped and we don't yet know how much of the "old normal" enrollment will return over the next few years.

Another big one is that as much as the focus is on MHS/LHS, the feeder MS also need to be considered... and it sounds like they are taking a conservative approach here to move enough students to provide some relief MHS without overcrowding Cooper MS in the process.  They are doing just enough to address the current situation while buying themselves time to make future moves, moves which could include expanding Cooper, expanding McLean (a true expansion, not the modular), and/or additional boundary shifts (say moving the rest of Spring Hill, for example).  But to do so wholesale now would be premature and they want to minimize thrash by ensuring they don't overcompensate for "today" given the heightened uncertainty about "tomorrow".

The TJ change may lead to greater enrollment at MHS/LHS, but not as much as the initial proposal... the initial proposal would have capped TJ enrollment from Cooper/Longfellow at something like 10-20% of what the current enrollments are... we'll have to see how the new system plays out but seems like under the revised plan they actually adopted it could easily hit 50%, and even 60-80% of current enrollment would not be a shocker. Of the 20-40% that would therefore be enrolled back at LHS/MHS, some of those may chose private if not accepted into TJ... so yes, there WILL be some increased enrollment at MHS/LHS due to the TJ change, but nowhere near the increase that was initially being discussed... it's a much smaller issue now. Couple that with the uncertainty around what overall enrollment numbers will look like post-vaccine and it's not hard to see why they're taking a more conservative approach here.  Also any increase in enrollment due to TH change is likely to be pretty much proportional at LHS/MHS, so while both might see their capacity utilization numbers increase as a result, it wouldn't really significantly affect the boundary change calculus to balance those utilization numbers out between the two schools.[/quote]

Excellent post.  [/quote]

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