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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]For my son, white male, high stats, good but not out of the park ecs and awards, no hooks--Naviance was a surprisingly spot on predictor for schools where there was sufficient data.  For schools where under 20 or so from his public high school applied in the last 3 years and/or less than 20% are admitted overall, I didn't make assumptions based on Naviance but instead looked at their Common Data Sets and considered them reaches unless he was above the 75% in which case they became targets (not safeties).  I would say those were pretty spot on too.  He got into all his targets and safeties and one of his reaches.  But I work with data sets and statistics a lot as part of my job so I understand the many limits on the kinds of inferences I can make from different data sources so maybe I'm more cautious in calling something a "target" vs. a "safety" vs a "reach" than others.  [/quote]

Can you comment on what other factors besides 75%ile we should look at in the Common Data Sets to help understand the institution and fit with our DCs?  I'm new to this and not clear on what to be looking at/for with these college stats.[/quote]

The main other thing to look at besides 75%ile mark is the overall acceptance rate (and to look at the overall acceptance rate for Regular Decision if you're not applying Early Decision).  We just said nothing is a total "safety" unless Regular Decision acceptance rate is over 50% and DCs scores are above 75%ile mark.  Targets were schools that had acceptance rates above 20% AND DC was above their 75% mark or schools that had acceptance rates above 50% and DC was above their median.  Reaches were anything that were more stringent than these criteria.   This helps you make sure you have a true array of safeties (some call them "likelies"), targets and reaches. [/quote]

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