Reply to Overcrowding and lack of space in Ward 3 Schools

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]But Deal doesn't add students to replace departing students.  Most kids don't depart Deal but more students are always moving in.

Deal rarely takes anyone from the waitlist.  [/quote]

So is it that the projections that worked in years past are no longer as accurate?   There is a relatively recent pattern of decreasing attrition from elementary to middle to high school in recent years?   Is that it?[/quote]

First, there is growth generally, so the IB numbers at all schools have been steadily growing for about 10 years now. Plus, there is a lot of movement in and out of the neighborhoods feeding Deal. Some people move abroad temporarily, leaving a spot that gets filled by OOB, and then a year or two later they come home and rejoin the now-bigger class, along with the kids in the family they rented to who also are allowed to stay with principal discretion (so that is potentially three kids for what would have been projected as one seat filled by an IB household). There are a lot of apartments, so people move into the area at or just for middle school, and more apartments and condos are being developed all the time. Fewer feeder kids are leaving the system at any point. So the ES is getting bigger, and nearly everyone is staying and moving up, and then more move in for MS. Basically all indicators are growth indicators.[/quote]

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