Reply to Wall Street Journal article says Clinton might not be the nominee

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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]The author is a former pollster for Bill Clinton who is now on the outside looking in. I wouldn't put much stock in it. Bernie can narrowly win California and the state's delegate split would still be about even. He's not going to win NJ, or PR or USVI this weekend, or DC. Superdelegates are breaking for HRC at this point, not the other way around. [/quote]
But if they actually followed the will of the voters not near as many would be pledged for Clinton.  Clinton currently only has about 54% of pledged delegates that have already been voted for.  Yet she has 92% of the superdelegates.[/quote]
I'm not going to argue with you, or even point out that superdelegates are not required to follow the voters' will -- and in fact, Sanders is now arguing that they should NOT do that. He wants the superdelegates to do the opposite. I will just refer you to extensive analyses by FiveThirtyEight:

[url]http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-system-isnt-rigged-against-sanders/[/url][/quote]
Exactly, superdelegates do not follow the will of the voters.  So there is no logical reason to not expect Sanders or any primary candidate not to try to win them over.  There's also no logical reason to claim it's unreasonable for any primary candidate not to do so.  So any HRC supporter claiming otherwise is speaking with a forked tongue.[/quote]
I'm not claiming Sanders is wrong to do so -- though he has made two conflicting arguments. One day he says they should follow the will of the people, the next he says they shouldn't. Devine says they should; Weaver says they shouldn't. And they put out those conflicting messages on the same day.

What I *am* saying is that superdelegates are not going to switch from Hillary to Bernie. Even in 2008, relatively few jumped from Clinton to Obama, and those who did were doing it to support the leader in pledged delegates. So it's more likely that superdelegates will go from Sanders to Clinton. The undeclared superdelegates will start declaring on Wednesday. Some, like Jerry Brown, did it this week. [/quote]

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