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[quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous][quote=Anonymous]A lot of these nonsensical and wishful-thinking death predictions for the Republican Party are rooted in a misinterpretation of the fact that the reason the Republican Party is having a tough time managing its various factions is precisely BECAUSE they have been so successful. Look (as Obama likes to say--"LOOK, folks"), the Republicans are the bigger tent party now. Democrats decided several years ago to do away with the white working class. They hate and resent them, actually. They resent their values, their religion, their respect for the individual over the state, and they resent many of their industries. Jim Webb's Democrat Party is long, long gone.

Obama won the 2012 election with 51% of the popular vote. That's no landslide. And the strategy he picked was to double down on progressives and say good riddance to the working class. He also wins on identity politics, which is a major factor for both progressives and, in his case, blacks. It's very difficult to say, though, whether blacks will be as motivated to turn out for a white Democrat. It's doubtful, actually. And what's worse, Hillary or Joe will not have the working class that Obama summarily dismissed.

Republicans now control the House of Representatives, the Senate, the vast majority of state legislatures, both upper and lower chambers, and the vast majority of governorships. Yes, it's difficult to keep a working coalition together between the big business conservatives, the suburban middle class that doesn't like heavy taxes, the religious right, the libertarians, and so forth. But the important point is they've got them, and that's more than the Democrats can claim. Democrats are just hoping and praying that there are enough Lena Dunham's who spend their lives obsessing over free abortion and microagressions. But as we start to see more and more backlash against the excessive PC movement (check out all the press lambasting the trigger warning culture), that faction is going to weaken as some of them come to their senses. Then what will the Democrats have, other than a few angry college professors who want Bernie Sanders' Denmark?

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You're forgetting one thing: WOMEN. They were 54% of the voting electorate in 2012 and will break in large numbers for Hillary. Women turn out at a much higher rate than men. White working class women will especially break for Hillary, as the vast majority of whom are single mothers and can barely put bread on the table.

The raw number of white voters has been declining in total numbers for the last two Presidential elections. White working class/blue collar men don't even matter anymore, since their turn-out numbers are atrocious.

The GOP's strategy is not Big Tent. The GOP wins when people don't vote. Their goal it to make voting (1.) difficult and (2.) unattractive. They make voting difficult through voter ID laws, limiting poll hours, restricting who can establish residence, make it onerous to establish residence, and difficult to attain a valid ID. They make voting unattractive by through legislative gridlock. The voters, especially Independents, become apathetic and only the extremists turn out to vote. Self identified Independents are NOT reliable voters, their turn out rates are lower than those registered as Dems or Repubs.[/quote]
Why? They didn't break for Obama, and Hillary isn't anything like them, not to mention that Hillary has a significantly worse favorability rating than Obama.[/quote]

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